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portada Backtesting Optimal Portfolios Based on Forecasting Models
Type
Physical Book
Year
2014
Language
English
Pages
220
Format
Paperback
ISBN13
9783639491456

Backtesting Optimal Portfolios Based on Forecasting Models

Kranner Stephan; Michael Christl (Author) · Av Akademikerverlag · Paperback

Backtesting Optimal Portfolios Based on Forecasting Models - Kranner Stephan; Michael Christl

New Book

£ 46.12

  • Condition: New
Origin: Spain (Import costs included in the price)
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Synopsis "Backtesting Optimal Portfolios Based on Forecasting Models"

This book shows that, given a simple linear model for trading-costs, portfolios with short holding periods (weekly or biweekly) cannot outperform the underlying index (S&P 100). There is empirical evidence that monthly restructuring leads to the optimal trade-off between superior performance and higher trading-costs. Additionally, it is shown that linear forecasting is not a useful tool for portfolio optimization. The empirical analysis points out that a portfolio with forecasts can almost never outperform a portfolio without forecasts in the long-run. In the short-run, however, it might be possible, but only in a stable environment where no jumps in the stock price occur.

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